Why the United States is afraid of China's economy?
Muslim /
"Our first objective is to prevent the re-emergence of a new competitor to us, and this thinking prevalent because of the defense strategy, the new regional, which require us to try to prevent any power hostile control of the resources be sufficient to generate global power .. This includes areas of Western Europe, East Asia , the former Soviet Union, and Southwest Asia. "
These specific ideas, summarized and Paul Wolfowitz (Deputy Defense Secretary, former World Bank President cur) U.S. policy strategy, to ensure the continued influence and control of America to the world.
When he entered the George W. Bush and his top aides to the White House early in 2001, they have the strategic objectives and clearly defined, demarcated by their previous years of the Republicans and Democrats. The objectives were to (revival of the doctrine of permanent U.S. control of the world, and strengthen the U.S. economy. "
Which was advocated by the U.S. leadership during the end of the era of the Soviet Union, and the end of the Cold War with the former Second World Pole, as quoted by U.S. newspapers for what they called "draft official secret", was leaked in early 1992. Which said: "The main strategic goal of America will be closing the door on any future challenger may challenge U.S. supremacy."
Although this authoritarian political doctrine condemned by America's allies, the U.S. administration could only be put on the list of priorities. The goal is to become the fundamental principle of American military policy since George Bush took office in February 2001.
Countries in the grip of America:
The economy is strong and solid one the most important elements of the emergence of a global or regional power in the world, since ancient times, the form-based physical infrastructure in the control cultures and peoples of the countries and other peoples.
The economy is the most important factor in the emergence of a strong military force and wide, and it can bind other states the economy of the wealthiest (the linking of the dollar economy of most countries in the world), is a critical factor in undermining the pillars of any nation (as happened after the collapse of the Asian tigers less than two decades because of the collapse currencies), and also is considered a threat to any country under any circumstances use the bonds of foreign currency against any other country, as well as strength in the establishment of treaties with other countries, and support the governments of countries to ensure their allegiance to the richest nations, and others.
Globally, there are a limited number of countries that managed to build an economic powerhouse in the world, for example, Germany managed to support its economy very well after World War II, leading to the formation of a most important economic blocs in Europe, but the integration into the European Union, and not to allow to form a military force since the last world war, just the perspective of any role in the formation of a regional or global.
India is one of the countries that have strengthened its economy effectively in recent years, but its cold war with its neighbor, nuclear Pakistan, are absorbed too much of its economy, as well as to penetrate the United States to India's economy and military strength, through numerous treaties, and the sale of weapons, and others.
As for Japan, which was the enemy of the United States during World War II, has become a mainstay of the U.S. presence in the Asian region, through association with many of the treaties, military, economic, intellectual and strategic. With no military force has an important, and the spread of U.S. troops on its territory on an ongoing basis, it is unlikely to becoming a superpower in the foreseeable future.
China alone looks like a giant coming silently and determination, through the economy is enormous, and dreams and wide, and the strategy aims to link its many international countries, and alliances have become a real threat to American hegemony.
China's economic growth during the past years:
World seemed surprised by the economic strides made by China during the past few years, as it is and since 1978, began production of the economic growth rate of 9.4, reaching in the first quarter of this year's rate of 10.2%.
Since 1982 to 2002, increase the total output per capita by 5-fold. It also has $ 61 billion of foreign direct investment according to 2004 statistics, foreign trade has reached nearly 851 billion dollars to become the third largest country in the world in terms of foreign trade.
And to the strength in foreign trade, the U.S. trade deficit with China in 2005, more than $ 200 billion.
As China has $ 750 billion of foreign currency reserves, and is the second largest oil importer in the world.
Comparing with the other America, China, and for the first time, surpassed the United States in the export of most goods technology around the world in 2004.
They also enjoyed a trade surplus with the U.S. $ 34 billion worth of high-tech sector in 2004, and this surplus rose in 2005 to $ 36 billion. According to the economist magazine issued in December 17, 2005.
This recovery and economic growth do not find a way to stop now, as China has established nearly 20 thousand industrial facility again last year and now has 442.000 engineer new in 2005, in addition to 48 thousand engineers holds a master's degree, and 8, thousands of Dr.. Compared to 60 thousand engineers new only last year in America.
China has 252 billion dollars in U.S. Treasury bonds (in addition to $ 48 billion in Hong Kong).
In the technology sector, China is now consuming television sets, refrigerators and mobile phones more than the United States, for example, in 1996, China had 7 million mobile phone, compared to 44 million in the United States. Today, China has surpassed America in the use of mobile phones.
China also has $ 1 trillion in personal savings, while the U.S. has only $ 158 billion in it. It also includes the city of Shanghai, China 4 thousand skyscraper, which is twice the number of skyscrapers in New York City (according to The Wall Street Journal, the number of November 19, 2005).
According to forecasts of global economic, China will overtake the U.S. economy completely in all Mahaneh in 2041 at the latest.
China's large ambitions:
Does not seem that the dream of China's economic standing at a certain extent, as China pursues multiple approaches to the development of industrial and economic capabilities of the near future.
For example, the site says (Asia Times), a specialist on Asia: "The source of the economic miracle in China is that Chinese cities, it includes 135 million people only in 1995, but will grow to more than 800 million people in 2050, according to forecasts to the expectations of the population of the United Nations. "
He continues by saying: "Farmers who have spent their lives in rural poverty, began to join the global economy, where economic growth was more than 10%, and gross domestic product of China doubles every seven years, and that rate can stay at the rate of increase of these as long as possible to transport people from agriculture, which gives low productivity, to large industrial productivity .. Today, the percentage of rural population to the city in China twice, but the middle of this century, will be the proportion of the population in the countryside to the city; half. "
Regionally, China maintains good relations with the countries of the region, through economic agreements and wide, and by allowing their products to pass through to the countries that benefit from effective, such as Australia, South Korea and India, countries that are trying the United States linked to the U.S. anti-China.
Countries in the region are trying to take advantage of economic recovery in China effectively, by providing China with oil and gas, iron, wood, and other materials.
Globally, China is trying to stretch some parts of the world's oil, through the establishment of oil deals with many countries. They accounted for the visit of President Hu Jintao's recent visit to Saudi Arabia, Nigeria and Kenya, another victory for the Chinese economy. As agreed by China and Saudi Arabia to build oil reserve stocks in China, as well as a huge petrochemical project company between the two countries.
Chinese President also held an agreement with Nigeria to extract oil from the four regions.
According to Xinhua news agency: "The Nigerian side made for a Chinese oil permits extraction in 4 areas of oil fields, located two of them in the delta of the River Niger to the oil-rich, while their other two in the territory of Lake Chad, which are conditions of the natural poor has been invested yet."
As China continues to signing oil contracts with Sudan.
And on oil cooperation between China and Sudan, the agency says: "The Chinese companies started to participate in the development of Sudan's energy since the mid-nineties the past."
Adding that the Chinese oil company has invested till the end of 2003 the equivalent of U.S. $ 2.7 billion, and a girl pipeline to transport oil length of the total 150.6 km, completed the construction of a plant capacity of its annual production 2.5 million tons of crude oil, building plants to supply the oil, which on Sudan from an oil importer into an exporter of oil. "
During the Chinese president's trip to Kenya, China has signed trade agreements and economic and technical with Kenya, has been strengthening ties between the two countries to very high levels.
Trade, increased trade between China and African countries from U.S. $ 10 million in the fifties, to about $ 39.7 billion in 2005. Increased African exports to China 10 times, to reach 21 billion U.S. dollars.
As China's direct investment reached 1.25 billion dollars, and held more than 800 Chinese-funded companies in Africa. According to Chinese news agency.
So far, China has reduced the debt of 10.5 billion yuan (about U.S. $ 1.3 billion) for 31 African countries. Also eliminated tariffs on 190 categories of African exports to China, Africa's economy in order to link Beijing and its wheel.
American economic policy against China:
Does not seem that the United States capable of at the moment of making a move that will cause the collapse of the Chinese economy growing strongly, but may consider other policies if need be for it.
One of the scenarios presented by the Krupp Victor (Professor in Public Administration from the Kennedy School at Harvard) that the American forces conducted a military operation against China, China has in no direct blow to the Taiwan declare formal independence ..
According to the theory of Victor, the U.S. forces may use Hamladtha Barjatha and deployed in the Pacific for military strikes to China, assisted by Japan, and hopes to involve South Korea and Australia to do so. Remembering many details of the capacity of both America and China military confrontation .. But here is interesting to consider what he says about the use of Victor of the economy in China hit the U.S., where he says that "China has some trump cards, including the ownership of a large bonds in the U.S. Treasury." He pointed out that the exploitation of China, it will affect the U.S. economy directly.
Despite this possibility, but many political observers see as a military strike "option of last resort" to prevent the establishment of a Chinese superpower in the world.
In response, the United States is trying to enforce international laws on trade world on China, in order to break its economic weight, and force them to open their markets duty-free goods for competition from America and the West.
Also trying to undermine support economic centers that try to evade the grip of China, Ktioan, Hong Kong, as well as to turn them against the Western countries against China's policy efforts to obtain a larger share of African oil. It has many of the media and the U.S. and Europe, to describe China as "a new colonial" attempts to colonize the African countries. Because of recent decades, signed by Chinese President during his visit to African countries.
With Beijing rejects the charges, seems to be going far in achieving the goals, applaud her many countries in the world dream of the salvation of American hegemony, or as economic support to the economy of some poor countries, or developing as an economic power could be used in long-term contracts.
But the United States to look into these other new force, and to their credit several accounts, amid expectations of almost certain that Washington must take steps against this new giant yellow, sooner or later.
Muslim /
"Our first objective is to prevent the re-emergence of a new competitor to us, and this thinking prevalent because of the defense strategy, the new regional, which require us to try to prevent any power hostile control of the resources be sufficient to generate global power .. This includes areas of Western Europe, East Asia , the former Soviet Union, and Southwest Asia. "
These specific ideas, summarized and Paul Wolfowitz (Deputy Defense Secretary, former World Bank President cur) U.S. policy strategy, to ensure the continued influence and control of America to the world.
When he entered the George W. Bush and his top aides to the White House early in 2001, they have the strategic objectives and clearly defined, demarcated by their previous years of the Republicans and Democrats. The objectives were to (revival of the doctrine of permanent U.S. control of the world, and strengthen the U.S. economy. "
Which was advocated by the U.S. leadership during the end of the era of the Soviet Union, and the end of the Cold War with the former Second World Pole, as quoted by U.S. newspapers for what they called "draft official secret", was leaked in early 1992. Which said: "The main strategic goal of America will be closing the door on any future challenger may challenge U.S. supremacy."
Although this authoritarian political doctrine condemned by America's allies, the U.S. administration could only be put on the list of priorities. The goal is to become the fundamental principle of American military policy since George Bush took office in February 2001.
Countries in the grip of America:
The economy is strong and solid one the most important elements of the emergence of a global or regional power in the world, since ancient times, the form-based physical infrastructure in the control cultures and peoples of the countries and other peoples.
The economy is the most important factor in the emergence of a strong military force and wide, and it can bind other states the economy of the wealthiest (the linking of the dollar economy of most countries in the world), is a critical factor in undermining the pillars of any nation (as happened after the collapse of the Asian tigers less than two decades because of the collapse currencies), and also is considered a threat to any country under any circumstances use the bonds of foreign currency against any other country, as well as strength in the establishment of treaties with other countries, and support the governments of countries to ensure their allegiance to the richest nations, and others.
Globally, there are a limited number of countries that managed to build an economic powerhouse in the world, for example, Germany managed to support its economy very well after World War II, leading to the formation of a most important economic blocs in Europe, but the integration into the European Union, and not to allow to form a military force since the last world war, just the perspective of any role in the formation of a regional or global.
India is one of the countries that have strengthened its economy effectively in recent years, but its cold war with its neighbor, nuclear Pakistan, are absorbed too much of its economy, as well as to penetrate the United States to India's economy and military strength, through numerous treaties, and the sale of weapons, and others.
As for Japan, which was the enemy of the United States during World War II, has become a mainstay of the U.S. presence in the Asian region, through association with many of the treaties, military, economic, intellectual and strategic. With no military force has an important, and the spread of U.S. troops on its territory on an ongoing basis, it is unlikely to becoming a superpower in the foreseeable future.
China alone looks like a giant coming silently and determination, through the economy is enormous, and dreams and wide, and the strategy aims to link its many international countries, and alliances have become a real threat to American hegemony.
China's economic growth during the past years:
World seemed surprised by the economic strides made by China during the past few years, as it is and since 1978, began production of the economic growth rate of 9.4, reaching in the first quarter of this year's rate of 10.2%.
Since 1982 to 2002, increase the total output per capita by 5-fold. It also has $ 61 billion of foreign direct investment according to 2004 statistics, foreign trade has reached nearly 851 billion dollars to become the third largest country in the world in terms of foreign trade.
And to the strength in foreign trade, the U.S. trade deficit with China in 2005, more than $ 200 billion.
As China has $ 750 billion of foreign currency reserves, and is the second largest oil importer in the world.
Comparing with the other America, China, and for the first time, surpassed the United States in the export of most goods technology around the world in 2004.
They also enjoyed a trade surplus with the U.S. $ 34 billion worth of high-tech sector in 2004, and this surplus rose in 2005 to $ 36 billion. According to the economist magazine issued in December 17, 2005.
This recovery and economic growth do not find a way to stop now, as China has established nearly 20 thousand industrial facility again last year and now has 442.000 engineer new in 2005, in addition to 48 thousand engineers holds a master's degree, and 8, thousands of Dr.. Compared to 60 thousand engineers new only last year in America.
China has 252 billion dollars in U.S. Treasury bonds (in addition to $ 48 billion in Hong Kong).
In the technology sector, China is now consuming television sets, refrigerators and mobile phones more than the United States, for example, in 1996, China had 7 million mobile phone, compared to 44 million in the United States. Today, China has surpassed America in the use of mobile phones.
China also has $ 1 trillion in personal savings, while the U.S. has only $ 158 billion in it. It also includes the city of Shanghai, China 4 thousand skyscraper, which is twice the number of skyscrapers in New York City (according to The Wall Street Journal, the number of November 19, 2005).
According to forecasts of global economic, China will overtake the U.S. economy completely in all Mahaneh in 2041 at the latest.
China's large ambitions:
Does not seem that the dream of China's economic standing at a certain extent, as China pursues multiple approaches to the development of industrial and economic capabilities of the near future.
For example, the site says (Asia Times), a specialist on Asia: "The source of the economic miracle in China is that Chinese cities, it includes 135 million people only in 1995, but will grow to more than 800 million people in 2050, according to forecasts to the expectations of the population of the United Nations. "
He continues by saying: "Farmers who have spent their lives in rural poverty, began to join the global economy, where economic growth was more than 10%, and gross domestic product of China doubles every seven years, and that rate can stay at the rate of increase of these as long as possible to transport people from agriculture, which gives low productivity, to large industrial productivity .. Today, the percentage of rural population to the city in China twice, but the middle of this century, will be the proportion of the population in the countryside to the city; half. "
Regionally, China maintains good relations with the countries of the region, through economic agreements and wide, and by allowing their products to pass through to the countries that benefit from effective, such as Australia, South Korea and India, countries that are trying the United States linked to the U.S. anti-China.
Countries in the region are trying to take advantage of economic recovery in China effectively, by providing China with oil and gas, iron, wood, and other materials.
Globally, China is trying to stretch some parts of the world's oil, through the establishment of oil deals with many countries. They accounted for the visit of President Hu Jintao's recent visit to Saudi Arabia, Nigeria and Kenya, another victory for the Chinese economy. As agreed by China and Saudi Arabia to build oil reserve stocks in China, as well as a huge petrochemical project company between the two countries.
Chinese President also held an agreement with Nigeria to extract oil from the four regions.
According to Xinhua news agency: "The Nigerian side made for a Chinese oil permits extraction in 4 areas of oil fields, located two of them in the delta of the River Niger to the oil-rich, while their other two in the territory of Lake Chad, which are conditions of the natural poor has been invested yet."
As China continues to signing oil contracts with Sudan.
And on oil cooperation between China and Sudan, the agency says: "The Chinese companies started to participate in the development of Sudan's energy since the mid-nineties the past."
Adding that the Chinese oil company has invested till the end of 2003 the equivalent of U.S. $ 2.7 billion, and a girl pipeline to transport oil length of the total 150.6 km, completed the construction of a plant capacity of its annual production 2.5 million tons of crude oil, building plants to supply the oil, which on Sudan from an oil importer into an exporter of oil. "
During the Chinese president's trip to Kenya, China has signed trade agreements and economic and technical with Kenya, has been strengthening ties between the two countries to very high levels.
Trade, increased trade between China and African countries from U.S. $ 10 million in the fifties, to about $ 39.7 billion in 2005. Increased African exports to China 10 times, to reach 21 billion U.S. dollars.
As China's direct investment reached 1.25 billion dollars, and held more than 800 Chinese-funded companies in Africa. According to Chinese news agency.
So far, China has reduced the debt of 10.5 billion yuan (about U.S. $ 1.3 billion) for 31 African countries. Also eliminated tariffs on 190 categories of African exports to China, Africa's economy in order to link Beijing and its wheel.
American economic policy against China:
Does not seem that the United States capable of at the moment of making a move that will cause the collapse of the Chinese economy growing strongly, but may consider other policies if need be for it.
One of the scenarios presented by the Krupp Victor (Professor in Public Administration from the Kennedy School at Harvard) that the American forces conducted a military operation against China, China has in no direct blow to the Taiwan declare formal independence ..
According to the theory of Victor, the U.S. forces may use Hamladtha Barjatha and deployed in the Pacific for military strikes to China, assisted by Japan, and hopes to involve South Korea and Australia to do so. Remembering many details of the capacity of both America and China military confrontation .. But here is interesting to consider what he says about the use of Victor of the economy in China hit the U.S., where he says that "China has some trump cards, including the ownership of a large bonds in the U.S. Treasury." He pointed out that the exploitation of China, it will affect the U.S. economy directly.
Despite this possibility, but many political observers see as a military strike "option of last resort" to prevent the establishment of a Chinese superpower in the world.
In response, the United States is trying to enforce international laws on trade world on China, in order to break its economic weight, and force them to open their markets duty-free goods for competition from America and the West.
Also trying to undermine support economic centers that try to evade the grip of China, Ktioan, Hong Kong, as well as to turn them against the Western countries against China's policy efforts to obtain a larger share of African oil. It has many of the media and the U.S. and Europe, to describe China as "a new colonial" attempts to colonize the African countries. Because of recent decades, signed by Chinese President during his visit to African countries.
With Beijing rejects the charges, seems to be going far in achieving the goals, applaud her many countries in the world dream of the salvation of American hegemony, or as economic support to the economy of some poor countries, or developing as an economic power could be used in long-term contracts.
But the United States to look into these other new force, and to their credit several accounts, amid expectations of almost certain that Washington must take steps against this new giant yellow, sooner or later.
